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Bracketology Friday! Boys Region 3 – 1A

First, let me explain how I came to these conclusions since there are some assumptions we had to make, given how little the FHSAA gave out:

I started with the 4/5/22 FHSAA rankings, and since no one in Gainesville would confirm or deny that the games of 4/4 were included, I will go with what Tampa Lax Report said and make 4/5 the starting point for including results.

According to some of what was probable, the District playoff games carried a little more weight than a regular season game. The issue of a head to head win was never confirmed, so I will count the head to head in the playoff as more important.

Won-Loss record certainly seemed to be more important than first thought and strength of schedule less important, so I carried that thinking over too.

There are a few games left today due to weather and a brush fire, so they are inclusive of both schools when projecting positions/slots.

We are going to do one of these articles for each region – 16 in total.

I have no reason to think geography will be part of the selection process, like it is in the NCAA at times. If a District rematch is indicated in the first round, I am assuming it will be played. There is no indication that the FHSAA will avoid first round rematches at this time.

Margin of victory does not seem important, and a forfeit is not counted (this is problematic if won-loss is so important).

Okay, if I think of something else, I’ll add it!

Region 3 – Boys 1A

Jesuit and Cardinal Mooney locked up the #1 and #2 seeds with their wins yesterday, leaving the #3 seed to the winner of today’s Community School/Canterbury game, a game delayed from yesterday after a brush fire broke out near the location.

The 4th seed was won in 3 OT’s by Osceola, getting past Berkeley Prep in a game that might have more repercussions than first thought, as you’ll see below.

The loser of Community School/Canterbury will definitely be the #5 seed. St. Stephen’s lost to Mooney in the final of the district and is going to be #6, leaving the following for the at-large cosideration:

Bishop Verot – #29 – 2-2 record after 4/4 and lost in the semifinal to Canterbury

Berkeley Prep – #32 – 2-3 record and lost in the final

Cypress Creek – #33 – 2-1 record and lost in the final to Jesuit

Analysis:

Pretty difficult on this one.

No one really has a big win, although Berkeley did beat both Alonso and Osceola by one early in the season, but the rest of their more difficult schedule beat up on them.

So, again, strength of schedule versus record plays out here. I think we’ll see Bishop Verot and Berkeley Prep edge out Cypress Creek but it’s a LOT closer than you would have thought before the season.

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So, this is how it looks:

#1 Jesuit vs #8 Berkeley Prep

#2 Cardinal Mooney vs #7 Bishop Verot

#3 Community/Canterbury vs #6 St. Stephen’s

#4 Osceola vs #5 Community/Canterbury