First, let me explain how I came to these conclusions since there are some assumptions we had to make, given how little the FHSAA gave out:

I started with the 4/5/22 FHSAA rankings, and since no one in Gainesville would confirm or deny that the games of 4/4 were included, I will go with what Tampa Lax Report said and make 4/5 the starting point for including results.

According to some of what was probable, the District playoff games carried a little more weight than a regular season game. The issue of a head to head win was never confirmed, so I will count the head to head in the playoff as more important.

Won-Loss record certainly seemed to be more important than first thought and strength of schedule less important, so I carried that thinking over too.

There are a few games left today due to weather and a brush fire, so they are inclusive of both schools when projecting positions/slots.

We are going to do one of these articles for each region – 16 in total.

I have no reason to think geography will be part of the selection process, like it is in the NCAA at times. If a District rematch is indicated in the first round, I am assuming it will be played. There is no indication that the FHSAA will avoid first round rematches at this time.

Margin of victory does not seem important, and a forfeit is not counted (this is problematic if won-loss is so important).

Okay, if I think of something else, I’ll add it!

Region 1 – Girls 2A

Bartram Trail ran the season at #1 here and nothing stood in their way, as they take the #1 seed.

Where it really gets interested in how the FHSAA will handle the #2/#3 seeding. Pont Vedra is #7 in the state, went 4-0 after 4/4 and beat the #31 team in the district final. They hold the head-to-head win over Lake Mary by one goal back in mid-February. Lake Mary is #8, also went 4-0 and beat the #6 team in Oviedo in the district final.

Good luck predicting that one . . . will the better final win carry the day and place LM above PV?

Niceville also won the Girls district, might want to look at changing the name to Titleville. They hold the #4 seed and Oviedo slots into #5.

Then we come to the other at-large considerations:

Creekside – #12 – 2-2 after 4/4, lost in the finals

Lake Brantley – #16 – 1-2 record, lost the semifinal

Forest – #25 – 2-1 record, lost the semifinal

Fletcher – #30 – 1-3 record, lost the final

Winter Springs – #31 – 2-2 record, lost the semifinal

Buchholz – #34 – 2-1 record, lost the semifinal

Analysis:

Creekside and Lake Brantley did enough to keep their seeds/slots since no one else made a big move and Forest also will hold on to the #8 seed as no one made a significant move to pass them.

*****

So, this is how it looks:

#1 Bartram Trail vs #8 Forest

#2 Ponte Vedra/Lake Mary vs #7 Lake Brantley

#3 Lake Mary/Ponte Vedra vs #6 Creekside

#4 Niceville vs #5 Oviedo