Bracketology Friday! Girls Region 2 – 2A
First, let me explain how I came to these conclusions since there are some assumptions we had to make, given how little the FHSAA gave out:
I started with the 4/5/22 FHSAA rankings, and since no one in Gainesville would confirm or deny that the games of 4/4 were included, I will go with what Tampa Lax Report said and make 4/5 the starting point for including results.
According to some of what was probable, the District playoff games carried a little more weight than a regular season game. The issue of a head to head win was never confirmed, so I will count the head to head in the playoff as more important.
Won-Loss record certainly seemed to be more important than first thought and strength of schedule less important, so I carried that thinking over too.
There are a few games left today due to weather and a brush fire, so they are inclusive of both schools when projecting positions/slots.
We are going to do one of these articles for each region – 16 in total.
I have no reason to think geography will be part of the selection process, like it is in the NCAA at times. If a District rematch is indicated in the first round, I am assuming it will be played. There is no indication that the FHSAA will avoid first round rematches at this time.
Margin of victory does not seem important, and a forfeit is not counted (this is problematic if won-loss is so important).
Okay, if I think of something else, I’ll add it!
Region 2 – Girls 2A
Vero Beach was the favorite coming in, followed by Hagerty, and nothing upset that applecart. Hagerty overcame the injury bug to solidify, and they are #1 and #2 seeds. #24 East Ridge knocked off #18 Windermere while #20 Celebration beat #51 Bartow.
East Ridge went 4-1 after 4/4 while Celebration went 3-0, so that should be enough for Celebration to hold on to the #3 seed
The at-large contenders lined up like this:
Viera – #15 – 3-1 record after 4/4, lost in the final
Windermere – #18 – 2-1 record, lost final
Boone – #22 – 2-1 record, lost to #37 Winter Park in semifinal
West Orange – #32 – 1-3 record, lost semifinal
Winter Park – #37 – 2-2, lost in final
Analysis:
Clearly, Windermere’s loss not only took away the #3 seed, but they also fall behind Viera, so Viera is #5 and Windermere is #6.
West Orange likely falls behind Winter Park given how the post 4/4 period went.
The really intriguing thing is we’ll see how much movement a #37 team gets from beating a #22 team in a district semifinal. I doubt it brings them all the way to the #7 seed, but it can’t be ruled out until we see the bracket.
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So, this is how it looks:
#1 Vero Beach vs #8 Winter Park
#2 Hagerty vs #7 Boone
#3 Celebration vs #6 Windermere
#4 East Ridge vs #5 Viera