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Bracketology Friday! Boys Region 4 – 1A
First, let me explain how I came to these conclusions since there are some assumptions we had to make, given how little the FHSAA gave out:
I started with the 4/5/22 FHSAA rankings, and since no one in Gainesville would confirm or deny that the games of 4/4 were included, I will go with what Tampa Lax Report said and make 4/5 the starting point for including results.
According to some of what was probable, the District playoff games carried a little more weight than a regular season game. The issue of a head to head win was never confirmed, so I will count the head to head in the playoff as more important.
Won-Loss record certainly seemed to be more important than first thought and strength of schedule less important, so I carried that thinking over too.
There are a few games left today due to weather and a brush fire, so they are inclusive of both schools when projecting positions/slots.
We are going to do one of these articles for each region – 16 in total.
I have no reason to think geography will be part of the selection process, like it is in the NCAA at times. If a District rematch is indicated in the first round, I am assuming it will be played. There is no indication that the FHSAA will avoid first round rematches at this time.
Margin of victory does not seem important, and a forfeit is not counted (this is problematic if won-loss is so important).
Okay, if I think of something else, I’ll add it!
Region 4 – Boys 1A
Serve held in all four district finals, and now we can put Saint Andrew’s at #1, where they’ve been all year, Oxbridge at #2, Belen Jesuit at #3 and Gulliver rounding out at #4, where they will be matched with #5 Pine Crest, which has been locked there all season long.
And then it gets interesting, with again an issue of strength of schedule versus won/loss record.
The at-large contenders came into this stretch as follows:
American Heritage-Plantation – #10 – 2-1 since 4/4, and lost to Pine Crest in the semifinals
Westminster Christian – #18 – 2-1 but lost to Ransom Everglades in the semifinal
Saint John Paul II – #20 – 3-1, lost in the final
Cardinal Gibbons – #25 – 2-1, lost in the semifinal
University – #27 – 2-2, lost in the final
Analysis:
Of all the schools, the most controversial was AH-Plantation, as they played a lesser schedule. University came on as the season went on and is someone to look at next season. Ransom almost threw a smoke bomb into this as they nearly won District 16 as the 30th ranked team.
Cardinal Gibbons was in the wrong district to make a run, having to face SA in their semifinal game.
So, it comes down to where WC, SJP and AH-P get seeded. Although I would place AH-P at 7, clearly the FHSAA formula will give them #6. I would have SJP at #6, but they will likely be #7 and WC #8. If University had one good win above themselves in the rankings, they might have edged WC out for #8.
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So, this is how it looks:
#1 Saint Andrew’s vs #8 Westminster Christian
#2 Oxbridge vs #7 SJP II
#3 Belen Jesuit vs #6 AH-Plantation
#4 Gulliver Prep vs #5 Pine Crest